Bot ClaudeVegas 116
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal
DRY-RUN · $0 CAPITAL
DRY-RUN MODE. Bot is paper-trading only. Zero capital at risk. Notional $1,000 bankroll for sizing math only. Live execution is gated on post-card review by QC + user signoff. All "trades" below are dry-run entries — they do not place real orders on Polymarket.
What Is This

An autonomous Claude-driven trading agent that watches the FightIQ model output, the Polymarket order book and our internal QC gates, then sizes Kelly-adjusted bets on UFC fights when a curated set of confirmed-edge conditions all align at once. It runs on a continuous cycle in the hours leading up to each card, refusing to place anything that doesn't pass every gate.

The exact strategy logic — which signals fire, which corroborations are required, the bands, the holdout rules, the post-loss cooldowns — stays in-house. What you see on this page is the audit layer: every poll, every eligibility decision, every dry-run entry, with the gates it passed and the ones it didn't. Full glass box on the bookkeeping. Closed box on the edge.

This page exists because we're running it openly through Vegas 116 and Perth as a public dry-run. After two cards of clean execution and QC signoff, live capital comes online — initially internal, then opening to a small allocation tier.

◆ Coming Soon
Bot Signals · Subscribers Only

Live trade alerts the moment the bot fires. Per-fight eligibility reasoning. Strategy-specific calibration data. Pre-card briefing emails. Post-card autopsy with what fired, what didn't, and why.

Join the Waitlist →
Halt
Preflight
Cycle
Late Window
T-minus
Bankroll
Notional
$1,000
dry-run sizing math only
Today PnL
$0
resolves on settlement
Total Staked
open dry-run positions
Open Positions
unsettled trades
Per-Event Used
cap 20% / $200
Per-Fight Evaluation
F# Fighters Mkt % Model % Edge Bet Side / Kind Kelly $ Liq $ Status
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Dry-Run Trade Ledger
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Calibration Cycles
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Bot State
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Audit Trail
Audit feed not exposed yet — see _comms/CHANGELOG.md locally for full log.