UFC Winnipeg predictions live — Burns vs Malott, Saturday

Predict fights.
Find edge.
Beat the market.

A dual-ensemble ML model trained on 8,500+ fights. 75.6% accuracy in 2026. LOCK picks are 10-0 this year. No guesswork, no gut feelings — just data.

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The numbers speak for themselves

Live 2026 results + 7-year walk-forward backtest (2020–2026). Not cherry-picked. Not overfit. Zero data leakage.

10-0
LOCK Picks in 2026
perfect · not a single loss
84.1%
High-Confidence Accuracy
37-7 · LOCK + HIGH tier · 2026
75.6%
Overall 2026 Accuracy
90 fights predicted · live results
$1,404
2026 Profit
115 bets · flat $100 stakes
+48.8%
Method Prop ROI
KO/Sub/Dec props · 2026
+74.1%
Round Prop ROI
Over/Under rounds · 2026

Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Built different

Most prediction sites give you gut feelings dressed up as analysis. We give you a machine that learns from every fight ever thrown.

01

Every Fight. Ever.

8,500+ UFC fights spanning 12+ years. Striking, grappling, physical attributes, Elo ratings, historical odds — all cleaned and structured.

02

Engineered Intelligence

We don't just look at records. Proprietary features capture style matchups, momentum, aging curves, and how fighters perform under pressure.

03

Multi-Model Ensemble

Four algorithms compete and collaborate. A dual architecture blends market-aware and market-blind predictions to avoid overfitting.

04

Find the Edge

We scan betting markets in real time. When our model disagrees with the market, we flag it. That's where the money is.

Four models. One prediction.

Each algorithm sees the fight differently. When they agree, we're confident. When they don't, we tell you.

Model A

Statistical foundation — finds the signal in the noise

Model B

Pattern recognition — learns complex matchup dynamics

Model C

Speed optimised — processes every angle at scale

Model D

Robustness engine — guards against overfitting

This Saturday's predictions

Real model output for UFC Winnipeg. This is what you get before every fight night.

UFC Winnipeg
18 April 2026
LIVE
Mike Malott
77.7%
HIGH
Dec 48%
Gilbert Burns
22.3%
Jamie Siraj
75.6%
HIGH
KO 37% · STRONG VALUE
John Yannis
24.4%
Marcio Barbosa Jr
72.0%
HIGH
Dec 44%
Dennis Buzukja
28.0%
Julien Leblanc
60.4%
MED
KO 43% · STRONG VALUE
Robert Valentin
39.6%

Not all picks are equal

Every prediction comes with a confidence tier. The edge lives in LOCK and HIGH — that's where you should focus.

LOCK
10-0
2026 · 100% · perfect
HIGH
79.4%
2026 · 27-7
MED
67%
solid · worth tracking
LOW / TOSS-UP
~55%
coin flip · proceed with caution

Spot mispriced fights

We scan Polymarket and sportsbook lines in real time and compare them against our model probabilities. When the market is wrong, we flag it.

If our model says a fighter wins 76% of the time but the market prices them at 62%, that's a +14% edge. We surface these opportunities so you can act on them.

Edge Detection — UFC Winnipeg
Leblanc vs Valentin
Model 60.4%
Market 52.6%
+7.8%
Siraj vs Yannis
Model 75.6%
Market 68.8%
+6.8%
Moises vs Young
Model 55.8%
Market 53.5%
+2.3%

Every card. Every prediction. Every result.

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